Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.533943e-03 0.001704 0.001874 0.002058 0.002250 0.002444 0.002655
2025-02-23 1.167976e-03 0.001413 0.001668 0.001952 0.002257 0.002573 0.002923
2025-03-02 8.936954e-04 0.001189 0.001509 0.001877 0.002282 0.002711 0.003196
2025-03-09 6.882438e-04 0.001018 0.001391 0.001832 0.002330 0.002868 0.003486
2025-03-16 5.333327e-04 0.000886 0.001303 0.001811 0.002397 0.003040 0.003789
2025-03-23 4.462584e-04 0.000825 0.001289 0.001869 0.002550 0.003306 0.004194
2025-03-30 3.550838e-04 0.000746 0.001246 0.001886 0.002651 0.003511 0.004530
2025-04-06 2.833468e-04 0.000682 0.001215 0.001913 0.002760 0.003722 0.004870
2025-04-13 2.284204e-04 0.000633 0.001197 0.001953 0.002881 0.003945 0.005222
2025-04-20 1.563628e-04 0.000544 0.001118 0.001909 0.002898 0.004044 0.005431
2025-04-27 9.913503e-05 0.000463 0.001042 0.001864 0.002909 0.004132 0.005624
2025-05-04 7.839034e-05 0.000444 0.001051 0.001929 0.003053 0.004377 0.005996
2025-05-11 4.873884e-05 0.000402 0.001034 0.001969 0.003184 0.004626 0.006400
2025-05-18 1.221552e-05 0.000308 0.000927 0.001886 0.003161 0.004692 0.006594
2025-05-25 1.397577e-08 0.000235 0.000841 0.001826 0.003164 0.004790 0.006825
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000180 0.000776 0.001791 0.003196 0.004923 0.007098
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000140 0.000728 0.001776 0.003253 0.005084 0.007404
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000125 0.000732 0.001838 0.003411 0.005370 0.007860
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000102 0.000709 0.001858 0.003512 0.005585 0.008229
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000084 0.000694 0.001886 0.003623 0.005812 0.008612
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000070 0.000686 0.001927 0.003750 0.006058 0.009019
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000043 0.000630 0.001884 0.003760 0.006157 0.009246
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000023 0.000576 0.001840 0.003766 0.006247 0.009462